Compilation: Methane Time Bomb EMERGENCY (From Death Spiral Meltdown of Arctic Ice)
Click play to watch all the Arctic Meldown, Methane Time Bomb Emergency playlist videos in a row. Use the 'next' arrow (second from bottom left) to skip along as desired, or use the 'playlist' icon (first of the bottom right icons) to reveal thumbnails. Or View the full playlist in list format on our YouTube channel, seeactinspire.
Updated: Jan. 18, 2013
Nutshell
Watch the first two videos above for a general summary of the Arctic meltdown/methane 'time bomb' EMERGENCY. Watch the third video to get a sense of the perilous rate at which the meltdown process has become a 'death spiral' -- especially from 15:00 - 19:00. Then read the articles linked at the end of this post for more about:
- Methane, a carbon molecule 25-33 x more potent as a global warming (heat trapping) gas than CO2 over a 100 year time horizon, but 72-100 x more powerful over 20 years(!)
- Permafrost contains 1.5 TRILLION TONS of frozen carbon, about twice as much as is contained in our entire atmosphere
- Melting/destabilization is already causing more and more methane to vent from its safe, frozen state EVERY YEAR
- On our present course, and based on conservative estimates, an IRREVERSIBLE carbon tipping point could occur within 20 years (between 2020 and 2030)
- This would result in the release of at least 100 BILLION tons (a lot) of carbon by 2100 and 2/3 of the stored deposits by 2200
- NO climate models to date (June 2011) incorporate consideration of the various amplifying and inter-reinforcing Arctic feedbacks (loss of sea ice-albedo, warming northern peatlands, methane release from permafrost melt, methane clathrates from melting ocean floors, nitrous oxide feedback), nor would their combined impacts be possible to calculate with accuracy
- "Release of even a fraction of the methane stored in the shelf could trigger abrupt climate warming." (NSF Nat'l Science Foundation press release, March 2010) In Earth's history, sudden, abrupt flips to a different, unstable global climate state of +2 ºC to +4 ºC have occurred in as brief as a 3 year period of time. The records are +6 ºC in 1–3 years, +10-12 ºC over 50 years. (Steffensen, 2008)
- CO2 emissions are cumulative. Even if we could reduce them to zero this minute, inertia from the 30 to 40-year lag between the release of heat trapping gases and the time it takes for that energy to force itself into the climate system (oceans), would continue to warm the planet. Global average temps would still rise for decades and any reduction in global temps from a future peak (if a runaway tip was somehow avoided) would take hundreds of years.
- International climate negotiations can't even find agreement on inadequate emissions reduction targets based on flawed climate models and dangerously outdated science that doesn't include feedback loops, the main driver of the climate crisis, let alone the catastrophic threat of Arctic feedbacks outlined above (which, based on current negotiation parametres, are not even under consideration)
Bottom line: We've already gone way too far
RIGHT NOW, our shared atmosphere is on an accelerating course to reach a state of potentially unsurvivable, runaway climate extremes during the lives of today's children. Only EMERGENCY international action at EMERGENCY speed *may be* proportional enough to confront the scale, scope and urgency of what is already the greatest crime against humanity, most life and most future life EVER. (See: Climate Change Human Impact Report 2009).
MORE
- http://www.commondreams.org/headline/2013/02/15-7
- http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2012/12/10/1264481/permafrost-101-why-w...
- http://www.unep.org/newscentre/default.aspx?DocumentID=2698&ArticleID=93...
- http://www.unep.org/publications/ebooks/emissionsgap2012/
- http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2012/12/02/1253931/ipccs-planned-obsole...
- http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2012/10/25/1086691/october-25-news-chan...
- http://www.climatecentral.org/news/report-says-ipcc-needs-to-address-imp...
- Post - Nature bombshell: 'Past extreme warming events linked to massive carbon release from thawing permafrost, Joe Romm, Climate Progress
- Article - Implications of Arctic permafrost thaw, Ian Dunlop, ClubofRome.org
- Rebuttal - Imminent collapse of Arctic sea ice drives danger of accelerated methane thaw, Professor Peter Wadhams, arctic-news.blogspot.com
- Article - Call for Arctic geoengineering as soon as possible, Peter Aldhous, New Scientist
- Article - Vast methane 'plumes' in Arctic ocean as sea ice retreats, S. Connor, Independent
- Showbook - Arctic methane alert: Call for an urgent escalation of scientific inquiry and development of countermeasures, Arctic Methane Emergency Working Group (16 pages)
- Post - Arctice methane outgassing on E. Siberian Shelf, Part 1: Background, Skeptical Science
- Post - Arctice methane outgassing on E. Siberian Shelf, Part 2: An interview with Dr. Natalia Shakhova, Skeptical Science
- Post - RealClimate alarmed by Arctic methane, should you be? Joe Romm, Climate Progress
- Post - Nature bombshell: Experts warn thawing permafrost could cause 2.5 times the warming of deforestation, J. Romm, Climate Progress
- Post - Level of heat trapping CO2 reaches new high, growth rate speeds up, methane levels are rising again, J. Romm, Climate Progress
- Post - The new Arctic abnormal: Record low sea ice volume, area, extent, J. Romm, CP
- Post - Arctic ice thinning 4 x faster than predicted by IPCC models, semi-stunning M.I.T. study finds, J. Romm, Climate Progress
- Post - Bombshell: Warming may shrink Russian permafrost 30% by 2050, Climate Progress
- Article - Russia may lose 30% of permafrost by 2050, Physorg.com
- Article - Arctic melt 'will accelerate global warming within 20 yrs', S. Connor, Independent
- Post - Wakening the Kraken, Agnostic & Daniel Bailey, Skeptical Science
- Post - The methane hydrate feedback revisited, Joe Romm, Climate Progress
- Post - NSIDC Bombshell: Thawing permafrost feedback will turn arctic from carbon sink to source in 2020s, releasing 100 billion tons of carbon by 2100, J. Romm, CProgress
- Article - Arctic ice in death spiral, Stephen Leahy, IPS
- Article - Methane releases in Arctic seas could wreak devastation, Sid Perkins, Sci News
- Article - Methane, nitrous oxide emissions underestimated, Science Daily
- Article - Methane melt: The most important story you don't follow, World Changing
- Article - Methane releases may be much larger/faster than anticipated, Nat'l Science Fdn
- Post - Stunner: Vast East Siberian shelf methane stores destabilizing/venting, CProgress
- Article - Methane levels may see 'runaway' rise, Michael McCarthy, The Independent
- Article - Defusing the methane time bomb, Christopher Mims, Scientific American
- Article - What if everything you knew about projected global warming was wrong? Mikkel Fishman, TheModerateVoice.com
- Article - Dramatic (abrupt) climate change is unpredictable, Science Daily
- Article - Climate change: The 30-40-year delay between cause and effect, Alan Marshall, Skeptical Science
ecoSanity
- ecoSanity - Race 2 Survival: We've already gone way too far
- ecoSanity - Compilation: Arctic ice death spiral meltdown - Coming soon
- ecoSanity - Models guiding climate policy dangerously optimistic
- ecoSanity - Race 2 Survival: What does the 2 stand for? (Recipe for disaster)
- ecoSanity - Category: James Hansen
- ecoSanity - Category: Temp projections
- ecoSanity - UN Climate Summits
- ecoSanity - ecoSanity 101
General
- Website - Arctic Methane Emergency Group (AMEG.me)
- Wikipedia - Methane
- Wikipedia - Atmospheric methane
- Wikipedia - Arctic methane release
- Wikipedia - Climate change feedback
- Wikipedia - Climate tipping point(s)
- Wikipedia - Abrupt climate change
- Wikipedia - Clathrate gun hypothesis
- Wikipedia - Methane clathrate (hydrate)
- Wikipedia - Arctic shrinkage
- Wikipedia - Siberia






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